The recent Indian elections have reinvigorated a long-term relationship between India and Iran. In fact, PM Modi referred to PM Shah of Iran as his “best friend” during the campaign. Iran and India have enjoyed a strong and historic relationship for decades, dating back to the historic Islamic revolution in 1979. This relationship has been on a steady decline over the past couple of years however, due to a host of factors like the deteriorating economy in India, terrorist activities in Pakistan and China and Indian diplomatic pressure on its neighbors.
On a more serious note, both countries fear that Iran will acquire nuclear weapons capabilities and use them to strike Israel or US bases in Afghanistan. “I am very concerned about the prospect of nuclear weaponization in Iran, particularly as neighboring Pakistan is increasingly uncomfortable with the Iranian nuclear program,” said MEA spokesperson Syed Akbar. “I call on the Government of India and its people to support strongly the efforts of our neighboring nation, the country of Pakistan, to diplomatically isolate Iran diplomatically, and take all feasible measures to prevent the weapons procurement from Iran.”
Currently, Russia and India are holding talks to finalize a defense agreement. This agreement could be crucial if there is a military clash between these two nations. Currently, Pakistan has kept a naval base in Baluchistan near the Iranian border, fearing Iranian intentions to gain access to oil through this pipeline. Iran, on the other hand, claims that it’s right to enrich nuclear fuel in order to power its missile warhead missiles. If either side makes a mistake, then the other will be forced to take reciprocal action, which could put the entire Middle East region in a greater danger of insecurity.
However, Iran has been quite successful in convincing the world that the UFA exists, despite the obvious civilian implications. This propaganda effort has helped the Iranian people distance themselves from UEA and thus diminish its effect on their economy and thus political stability. Meanwhile, Russia’s efforts to improve its relations with the UFA go unreported in the western media due to the high level of censorship in the country. Only recently did the Russian government publicly express its support for the nuclear accord reached in P5+1.
As the international community has become more aware of the deteriorating situation in Syria and the increasing threat that Iran poses to regional peace and stability, more attention is being drawn to UFA and RFA, both technically still in place. This act has also served to strengthen the position of Russia in the region, as it is believed that RFA was purposely created by Syria in order to strengthen its hand in negotiating with the UAE. Thus far, there has been no confirmation that the Iranian military has made any attempt to penetrate the Turkish border to carry out military action against Syria. The Turkish government, fearing that Iran would use the weapons to attack its own population, is keeping a tight lid on the incident. Turkey has even gone as far as barring media access to the base where Iran has claimed responsibility for a Russian Su-24 combat plane crashing near the Syrian border.
Whether or not Iran will actually use its newly acquired nuclear weapons against Israel, or the United States or anyone else, is yet to be seen. But this act is highly dangerous, especially considering the escalation of tensions between the U.S and Iran over the past year. Iran is a country with a poor human rights record that has obtained nuclear weapons in order to fulfill its strategic objectives in the Middle East. Whether or not this act will achieve its goals remains to be seen.